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A Detailed Look at the Fed’s Bailout of the Financial System

Levy Economics Institute of Bard College

One-Pager | No. 23

$29,000,000,000,000: A Detailed Look at the Fed’s Bailout of the Financial System

December 12, 2011
L. Randall Wray
Senior Scholar, Levy Economics Institute
Professor of Economics, University of Missouri–Kansas City

There have been widely varying estimates of the total funding provided by the Federal Reserve to rescue the financial system during the 2007–09 crisis — from the Fed’s own claim of $1.2 trillion to Bloomberg’s $7.7 trillion (for the biggest banks alone) and the GAO’s $16 trillion.

As part of a Ford Foundation–funded project I direct — “A Research and Policy Dialogue Project on Improving Governance of the Government Safety Net in Financial Crisis” — Nicola Matthews and James Felkerson conducted the most thorough examination to date of the raw Fed data obtained through lawsuits and congressional mandates.

The headline finding, published in Felkerson’s new Levy Institute working paper (the first in a series), is that between January 2007 and November 2011 the Federal Reserve committed more than $29 trillion in loans and asset purchases to prop up the financial system.

Beneficiaries included:

  • U.S. member banks and investment banks
  • Shadow banking institutions
  • Industrial corporations
  • Foreign central banks and private banks
  • Even high-profile individuals (e.g., the “Real Housewives of Wall Street” identified by Matt Taibbi)

Three Ways of Measuring the Fed’s Intervention

Matthews and Felkerson used three distinct methods to quantify the Fed’s commitments:

Measure Purpose Result (across all facilities)
Peak outstanding at any one time Measures maximum risk of loss to the Fed ~$1–2 trillion (close to Fed’s own estimate)
Peak weekly/monthly flow Captures intensity of distress in the worst periods Several trillion during crisis peaks
Cumulative total (2007–2011) Best gauge of the overall scale of the rescue effort $29.616 trillion

Example: Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF)

Created March 16, 2008, in response to Bear Stearns collapse

Measure Amount Date/Notes
Peak outstanding $156.57 billion Oct 1, 2008
Peak weekly lending $728.64 billion Oct 1, 2008
Cumulative (entire program) $8.951 trillion (1,376 loans) Mostly to just 5 banks

The vast majority of the $9 trillion in cumulative PDCF borrowing went to Merrill Lynch, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, Bear Stearns, and Bank of America — institutions that were either absorbed, nearly failed, or remain troubled.

When all transactions across all crisis facilities are summed, the Fed’s total commitment reaches $29,616.4 billion.

Conclusion

The 2007–09 crisis triggered an unprecedented response by the Federal Reserve in its role as lender of last resort. This research provides the most detailed descriptive account yet of what the Fed actually did. The next phase of the project will evaluate the Fed’s approach and draw policy lessons for future crises — an unfortunately realistic possibility.

Full working paper (WP 698):
www.levyinstitute.org/pubs/wp_698.pdf


Original Author: Ellen

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